All just coincidence? - A review of the last 120 years and their temperature records

Since "Fridays for future" at the latest, climate change has been on everyone's lips and is the subject of lively public and political debate. The media are increasingly talking about temperature records.
What are records anyway, do they really occur more and more frequently or can their occurrence simply be explained by chance, as some people claim?
We will answer this exciting question with scientific methods using real temperature data.

Duration: about one double hour
Prior knowledge: Probabilities and random experiments, path rules.
Contents: Dealing with data, law of large numbers, Laplace probability, path rules, stochastic independence, expected value.
Target group: 10th grade and higher
Created by: Maren Hattebuhr
Registration: Dates can be arranged individually by e-mail.

Material

The interactive learning material can be accessed via the online platform workshops.cammp.online. How to create an account on the platform and use the
material is explained in this video. In addition, accompanying material is provided for teachers on the online platform, which can be accessed via a password that can be requested by e-mail.

List of publications and talks to this module

  • Hattebuhr, M., Henze, N., Frank, M.: Rekorde in zufälligen Permutationen – Material zur statistischen Analyse von Temperaturrekorden (Sek. II). (Vortrag, Tagungsbandbeitrag), (online) GDM, 2021.